Between waiting for the iPhone 16 or buying an older model, the answer is pretty clear to me

Halfway through the year there’s a question I get asked a lot: “Should I wait for the iPhone 16 launch or should I buy an older model?” Possible price cuts for models already on the market, uncertainty about new generation innovations (Apple isn’t exactly known for innovating year after year).

I’m going to share, on a personal level, the recommendations I usually make. It is possible to save a significant amount of money if we put emotions aside and choose the most rational purchase.

First consideration, I come from no iPhone. The first point to clarify before making recommendations has to do with the model we are coming from. The update cycle for an iPhone is usually much longer than an Android phone (although there are exceptions).

save battery status (which can be replaced at Apple for a lot of money), the iPhone’s life cycle usually coincides with its update cycle: about five or, to put it briefly, six years.

If we’re one of those who pay as much as we can for shopping, the jump to any comparable modern model would be a significant change. On the other hand, if we change phones often, we will be practically forced to go to the latest model to notice significant changes.

iPhone Pro or any Pro. The second consideration is another most classic question: is it from my point of view and experience, for most users, the answer is a clear no. The Pro models are aimed at users who shoot in RAW format, want more capable zoom and make sure their phone runs all the functions that Apple provides (a clear example is the iPhone 15 Pro will have Apple Intelligence and the iPhone 15, no). .

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By preserving these profiles, “non-pro” iPhones cover virtually everything an average user might need. They’re noticeably cheaper, the jump in power isn’t usually noticeable, and, if you take me in a hurry, camera differences save for zoom are virtually impossible to notice. Our comparison is good proof of this.

In point, wait or wait. Considering which model we are from and whether we are going to bet on a Pro model, we have to answer this question: the latest iPhone, the previous iPhone or the iPhone from two years ago. When asked if it’s worth buying the latest model, unless some spectacular changes are rumored (Face ID under the screen, a major design change, a significant jump in cameras, etc.), the answer is usually no.

In my particular case, I value zoom a lot, and rumors tell us about an iPhone 16 Pro with 5x zoom (like the iPhone 15 Pro Max and 16 Pro Max, a priority). That would be reason enough to wait for the new model. If there’s a feature you’d like to enjoy, wait. If you are a user with simple needs, forget about the new model.

Going for the previous model is usually the best decision: Historically there isn’t a huge difference between the latest model and the previous model. In fact, a good portion of my circle will be unable to distinguish an iPhone 14 Pro from an iPhone 15 Pro as no one is going to measure 48 megapixels or the new bezels measuring millimeters.

Compared to models from a few years ago, they are generally a wiser purchase. They are not too far from the current model, although there are significant differences in photographic quality and capabilities between these two year jumps (more relevant for the medium term than the short term). Buying an iPhone 14 Pro today is a great option: it still has three or four years of updates left.

The key here is the price difference. Can you get the model before the new one at a better price? buy it Is the price out of your budget and the two year old model is noticeably cheaper? buy it

iPhone prices are falling? Yes, but not much. iPhones depreciate less than Android phones, and look at price history to prove it.

Screenshot from 09 07 2024 to 08 23 42 AM
Screenshot from 09 07 2024 to 08 23 42 AM

This graph shows the evolution of iPhone 15 Pro prices since our launch. This is a phone that has gone on the market for 1,219 euros. Today, we can buy it on Amazon for 1,069 euros. If we choose reconditioned models, they are easy to find for around 900 euros That’s still a lot of money, but a lot less than 1,219 euros.

What about lower-priced models like the iPhone 14?

Screenshot from 09 07 2024 to 08 22 42 AM
Screenshot from 09 07 2024 to 08 22 42 AM

iPhone 14 price evolution.

The keeper graph here is not that accurate, since the 128 GB version never cost 1,000 euros: it went on the market for 859 euros. Almost two years later, the new price is 745 euros, just 100 euros less after 24 months Something similar will happen with the iPhone 14 Pro if we want to renew it, but we will have to pay its original price. Stock becomes scarce and the product does not lose the value that many expect.

In short, the answer to the question “Should I wait for the iPhone 16 or buy the 15” is: Always buy the model right before the new oneUnless you expect some essential innovation in the new generation (Spoiler: it won’t).

Picture | BDtechsupport

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